According to the “12th Five-Year†new energy special plan being developed, the cumulative capacity of China's solar power generation will reach 10 million kilowatts in 2015, and the solar power generation price will drop to 0.8 yuan/kWh, and will enter the stage of large-scale development. At the seminar on large-scale development of solar power generation held on June 9, Liang Zhipeng, deputy director of the New Energy and Renewable Energy Department of the National Energy Administration, said that the large-scale development of solar power depends on technological progress and cost reduction. Photovoltaic relay wind power Compared with the development speed of China's wind power that has doubled for five consecutive years, solar power generation has always been in a state of “not warm and not fire†in China. Although China's solar cell production has reached 8 million kilowatts, accounting for about 60% of the world's total, 95% of them are exported to Europe-based overseas markets, and the domestic solar power market is still small. As of the end of 2010, China's photovoltaic power generation installed only accounted for 0.08% of the country's 960 million kilowatts of power generation installed capacity. In 2009, China launched the construction of the domestic solar power generation market, accelerated market development through concession bidding and “Golden Sun†project, but the domestic solar power generation market is still in its infancy. According to the latest data released by the Energy Bureau, as of the end of 2010, the global cumulative capacity of solar power generation exceeded 40 million kilowatts, and in 2010 more than 15 million kilowatts. In 2010, China organized 13 photovoltaic power plant concession projects, and the total scale of solar power projects under construction has reached 1 million kilowatts. The previously issued “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†determined that China will form 5 million kilowatts of grid-connected solar power generation capacity by 2015. According to Dong Xiufen, director of the Renewable Energy Division of the National Energy Administration, the 12th Five-Year Plan for Photovoltaic Power Generation, which was prepared by the National Energy Administration, has clearly raised the target for the 12th Five-Year Plan to 10 million kilowatts by 2020. The PV installation target may be significantly raised to 50 GW. Compared with the previously announced “2015 China's PV installed capacity will reach 5 GW or more†goal doubled. The move was interpreted by the industry as a timely improvement of installed targets, which is expected to promote a large-scale start of the domestic PV market. According to reports, the 10 million kilowatts will be roughly composed of three parts: First, during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, solar power generation bases will be launched in Qinghai, Xinjiang, Gansu and other provinces, and key large-scale power generation will be promoted in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Shanxi, and Tibet. The project, which accounts for about 6.5 million kilowatts; the second, about 3 million kilowatts of distributed photovoltaic projects, mainly in the central and eastern energy-concentrated areas, according to the electricity consumption indicators, the third; about 500,000 kilowatts The off-grid solar system is mainly used in remote power shortage areas. “The figure of 10 million kilowatts is only a forecast.†Liang Zhipeng also pointed out that “it is very likely that the development of the photovoltaic industry will exceed the planning target at the end of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€.†Breaking through the cost bottleneck “Now, China’s photovoltaic power generation The cost is half that three years ago. If solar power can reach 8 cents per kWh, then solar power can be developed on a large scale, like the current wind power." Liang Zhipeng said. Liang Zhipeng said that the future development of China's solar power industry is very clear, that is, to accelerate technological progress, gradually expand the scale of the industry, and promote the economic competitiveness of solar power generation. Liang Zhipeng expects that by 2015, grid-connected photovoltaic power generation capacity will be 5 million kilowatts. Together with decentralized photovoltaic power generation projects, the cumulative capacity of photovoltaic power generation will reach 10 million kilowatts. At the same time, the cost of photovoltaic power generation will be reduced to less than 0.8 yuan per kWh. At present, without considering the cost of land, China's solar power generation cost has dropped to 1 yuan / kWh, and the scale of production cost per kWh of 8 cents has a "last mile" distance. Liang Zhipeng believes that the main difficulty in solar power generation now lies in economics. "At present, the cost of solar power generation is relatively high, resulting in high prices. If it is necessary to undertake a special large-scale solar energy application, it is not economically cost-effective." Liang Zhipeng said. In response to price bottlenecks, the Chinese government has adopted two policy measures to support solar power applications: one is to support the construction of large-scale grid-connected solar power plants by means of electricity price subsidies; the other is to provide about 50% of financial investment subsidies for initial investment in the project. To support distributed applications such as rooftop photovoltaics. Ashok Bhargava, director of the Energy Division of Bank of Asia, suggested that large-scale investment will also drive down the cost of solar power. He pointed out: "The cost of solar power projects is high in the early stage. The cost of financing determines the decline of solar power generation costs. In the next three years, we hope to use $2.25 billion to drive a total investment of 9 billion US dollars to promote Asia 3000. The goal of megawatt solar scale application is to reduce the cost of solar power generation. It is hoped that by 2020, it will reach 5 euro cents per kWh.†Focusing on the Asian market relative to wind power, Liang Zhipeng believes that the advantage of solar photovoltaic power generation lies in flexibility. It is not affected by the terrain. "For solar energy, we are not in favor of focusing on a large area of ​​development in a region. We advocate multi-point, decentralized access to the grid, so that it can be absorbed in the distribution network." Liang Zhipeng said. Liang Zhipeng also said that China's solar energy companies should pay more attention to the Asian market. He revealed that many Asian countries, including India and Thailand, have developed an active action plan to promote solar energy, which will greatly expand the solar energy application market in Asia. China is the world's largest producer of solar cells, with annual production exceeding 50% of global production. However, China's solar products are highly dependent on overseas markets, with 95% of annual output being exported; most of them are exported to Europe, and the changes in European PV policies have a greater impact on domestic PV companies. Liang Zhipeng reminded that Chinese solar companies cannot always stare at the United States and Europe. They should pay more attention to the Asian market and strengthen technologies such as building integration and smart grid integration. ADB announced in May last year that it will support solar energy development and utilization activities. By 2012, it will support 3 million kilowatts of solar power applications in Asia, including large-scale solar power plants, rooftop photovoltaic systems and independent photovoltaic systems in remote areas. ADB's support plans include: China's four 50 MW thermal power generation demonstration projects, India's 500 MW solar power grid access project, Bangladesh's 5 MW grid-connected solar photovoltaic power generation project and two off-grid wind and solar complements Projects, as well as technical assistance support for concession bidding for photovoltaic and thermal power projects in five provinces in China. Liang Zhipeng also called for the quality inspection of Asian countries to do a good job in regional policy coordination. He said that even if a country has a better policy, the market provided is still limited. If countries can introduce policies with roughly the same direction and appropriate scale, it will be able to form a considerable amount of solar energy market.
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