Abstract According to the National Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan for Bearing Industry, by 2015, the sales of the bearing industry will reach 222 billion yuan, and the output will reach 28 billion sets. The average annual growth rate of the industry will be over 10%. 1, the city
According to the National Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan for Bearing Industry, by 2015, the sales of the bearing industry will reach 222 billion yuan, and the output will reach 28 billion sets. The average annual growth rate of the industry will be over 10%. 1. Multi-product types and multi-level downstream demand growth brought about by the promotion of urbanization drive to promote industry growth
During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, with the continuous advancement of China's deepening reforms and the support of new urbanization with new industrialization, the consumption power of the broad masses of the people will be correspondingly improved and released, and the domestic demand market will continue to expand, generating more bearing. Demand. With the multi-level demand growth of downstream applications such as automobiles, power generation equipment, rail transit equipment, engineering machinery, CNC machine tools, agricultural machinery, metallurgical mining equipment, electronic special equipment and emerging industry supporting, high-end equipment manufacturing, etc., the bearing industry will be promoted. Continued steady growth. In addition, with the increasing use of bearings, the maintenance and renewal requirements of bearings will continue to grow steadily, making the bearing industry a “100-year-old†feature, and downstream demand will continue to grow steadily in the future.
According to relevant research, the forecast of the demand for supporting and repairing key bearings during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period is as follows:
2. Increase in localization rate of major equipment manufacturing and industry opportunities brought by strategic emerging industries
According to the “Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan for Mechanical Basic Parts, Basic Manufacturing Process and Basic Materials Industry†issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, since 2008, China’s equipment manufacturing industry has continued to rank first in the world, and the integration capability of mainframes and major equipment has been significantly Upgrading, large-scale complete sets of equipment can basically meet the needs of national economic construction, but the high-end "three-base" products of high-quality basic parts, advanced basic manufacturing processes and basic materials can not keep up with the requirements of the development of the mainframe, and the rapid development of high-end mainframes The contradiction between the shortage of supporting "three basics" products has become a bottleneck restricting the development of China's major equipment and high-end equipment. High-end “three-based†products are the guarantee to improve the performance and reliability of major equipment and avoid major accidents; high-quality basic components and basic materials are important guarantees for the modernization of the national defense industry, and must be based on independent development; the “three-based†industry is improving The quality of life of the people provides important conditions. The automation of food processing, bio-pharmaceuticals, and the manufacturing process of household appliances, which are closely related to improving people's livelihood, are all required to ensure high cleanliness, high-precision basic parts and corrosion-resistant basic materials. At present, the development of China's "three-based" industry lags behind the mainframe and is solidified in the low-end of the industrial chain. The situation of improving the overall level and international competitiveness of the "three-based" industry should not be delayed.
The "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" is the tough period for China's industrial transformation and upgrading, and it is an important period of strategic opportunity to realize the transformation from a large equipment manufacturing country to an equipment manufacturing powerhouse. The transformation and improvement of traditional industries, the cultivation and development of strategic emerging industries, and major projects. The demand for equipment manufacturing industry by the people's livelihood project, infrastructure and national defense construction not only provides a huge market space for the bearing industry, but also puts forward higher requirements for its quality and level of growth. According to the "12th Five-Year Development Plan of the National Bearing Industry", the autonomy rate of supporting bearings in key areas has doubled the space for improvement. The space for import substitution is relatively broad. The medium and high-end bearings will be the focus of development. The domestic technology is advanced and the products are high-end. Bearing companies will enjoy the results of high-end bearing import substitution.
At the same time, the bearing industry has a close relationship with strategic emerging industries. The state has decided to accelerate the cultivation and development of strategic emerging industries, providing a broad market for the development of high-speed, precision and heavy-duty bearings for the bearing industry.
According to the “Decision on Accelerating the Cultivation and Development of Strategic Emerging Industries†and the “12th Five-Year National Strategic Emerging Industry Development Plan†promulgated by the State Council, by 2015, the added value of China’s strategic emerging industries will account for GDP. The competition for gravity is about 8%. By 2020, the added value of China's strategic emerging industries will account for about 15% of GDP. Strategic emerging industries include seven generations of information technology, energy conservation and environmental protection, new energy, biology, high-end equipment manufacturing, new materials and new energy vehicles. Among them, a large number of high-end bearings of various types are required as key components, especially among them. The new energy automobile industry, the new energy industry including nuclear power, wind power, solar power, and other high-end equipment manufacturing industries including aviation, satellite and applications, rail transit equipment, marine engineering equipment, and intelligent manufacturing equipment all require a large amount of high-speed, precision, and heavy The bearing bearing has great development potential, and it also provides great opportunities for the optimization of product structure in China's bearing industry and industrial transformation and upgrading.
3. Huge international market space
As a highly-standardized, serialized and universalized “three-in-one†mechanical product, the natural properties are suitable for global production and procurement, and the open international market space is even larger. As the major multinational bearing companies shift from “demand production†to “best productionâ€, they will implement local production from the target market countries, especially the overseas factories that follow the host companies, and then switch to production bases. In the economic environment of the country's exchange rate changes, inflation, manufacturing costs, market demand, etc., timely adjust the bearing varieties and quantities of each production base to achieve low-cost production under the international average, Chinese bearing enterprises will be in quality and technology Under the background of continuous breakthroughs, we share the huge market space for the global division of labor in the bearing industry. At present, the internationalization of China's bearing enterprises is just in its infancy, with an international vision and the implementation of the "going out" internationalization strategy, in order to win greater development.
According to the global bearing market forecast analysis released by The Freedonia Group, the global demand for ball bearings, roller bearings and plain bearings is expected to grow at an annual rate of 8.5%, and will reach approximately US$ 76 billion in 2014.
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