According to the "My Colored" network offer, after breaking through the stage high of 18,000 yuan/ton at the end of October, the current transaction price of 99.7% electrolytic manganese in Shanghai has climbed to 188,000 yuan/ton, once again creating the price since the financial crisis. new highs. Electrolytic lead is also rising, and the current domestic lead price has exceeded 18,000 yuan / ton, a 25-month high. In addition, metals such as copper, tin, antimony and magnesium have also repeatedly broken through and operated at the highest price range during the year.
The high price of metals is closely related to the development of energy conservation and emission reduction work and the promotion of liquidity. It is reported that in the current situation that the lead production in Henan has not completely ended, Jiangxi has started a new round of power cuts. Jiangxi Jinde Lead Electrolytic Lead Production Line has been restricted for one week since this week, and the affected output is 600-700 tons.
The raw material manganese ore and manganese carbonate of electrolytic manganese are also being restricted due to rectification or production restrictions. In addition, the dry season of Guizhou and other places is coming soon, and production enterprises are also facing rising costs due to the unified adjustment of electricity tariffs by the State Grid and China Southern Power Grid. This undoubtedly makes the price increase a layer of cost support factors.
In addition, driven by this round of inflation expectations, speculation in the circulation field has also caused prices to rise. The mainstream view of the market believes that speculation on the late stage of funds may keep metal prices at a high level and even climb to new highs.
However, after the price hit a stage high, the downstream pressure also gradually increased. "My Colored" analyst Lei Xiao told reporters that electrolytic lead accounts for 80% of the cost of battery production in its main downstream application industry. Although the current battery consumption season, the factory orders are saturated, but the sharp increase in lead prices has caused the pressure on downstream companies to surge, many purchasing managers choose to wait and see, the procurement is cautious. The weakening of terminal demand will cause the price to rise further and encounter resistance. Only the brands such as Chihong Zinc, Zhuye Group and other manufacturers produce lead prices that are still very strong.
The market for electrolytic manganese is also believed to be driven almost entirely by monetary factors. "Although the upstream manufacturers' costs have increased, they are certainly not as good as the current product prices, so their profit margins have further increased. But downstream purchases have not been released." "My Colored" analyst Yao Nianbiao told reporters. If the real demand cannot be followed up, the manganese price may face a period of consolidation.
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